Longford Town vs Mervue United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
FIN
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 0
LON
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 3
LON
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
WAT
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
WEX
1 - 1
LON
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
MER
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MER
0 - 2
WAT
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
WEX
1 - 2
MER
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
MER
0 - 3
LIM
8%
19%
73%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |