Longford Town vs Mervue United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LON
1 - 3
FIN
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LON
1 - 2
DUN
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LIM
1 - 2
LON
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 1
LON
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LON
3 - 2
WAT
37%
26%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
MER
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
WAT
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
WEX
2 - 0
MER
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
1 - 0
MER
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
ATH
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |