Longford Town vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+66%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
10º
9º
27
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 0
LON
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
WEX
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 4
CAO
16%
25%
60%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
LON
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
BRW
36%
25%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
KEF
0 - 1
CAO
19%
24%
57%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 0
KEF
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
ATH
14%
19%
67%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
KEF
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
3 - 0
LON
14%
21%
66%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | +12 |