Longford Town vs Kerry FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.5%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.3%
2.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
9º
8º
10
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
LON
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
FIN
44%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BRW
0 - 0
LON
32%
25%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 0
COB
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 1
LON
75%
16%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
ATH
3%
8%
90%
|
6 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
WEX
2 - 1
KEF
91%
7%
2%
|
6 | 55 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
GAL
9 - 1
KEF
78%
16%
6%
|
7 | 61 | 54 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 1
TRE
5%
15%
81%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
BRW
3 - 1
KEF
93%
5%
1%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | 0 |