Longford Town vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
LIM
0 - 0
LON
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 3
LON
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
LON
0 - 1
WAT
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
WEX
1 - 1
LON
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
LON
0 - 0
ATH
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
2 - 0
SAL
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 1
FIN
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FIN
3 - 3
WEX
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 1
FIN
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
FIN
3 - 2
MER
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |