Longford Town vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
62.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
LON
1 - 2
SHE
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
LIM
3 - 1
LON
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
LON
1 - 2
SHR
17%
25%
59%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
LON
68%
20%
12%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
LON
1 - 0
FIN
49%
24%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
DER
2 - 2
ATH
74%
19%
7%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
WAT
2 - 0
DER
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 1
DER
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
DER
0 - 1
CAO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
DER
2 - 3
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |