Longford Town vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
57%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
LON
3 - 5
SHE
23%
25%
53%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
2 - 0
LON
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
MON
2 - 2
LON
58%
23%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
LON
3 - 2
FIN
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
LON
1 - 1
LIM
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
DER
1 - 0
ATH
80%
15%
5%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
WAT
1 - 0
DER
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 1
DER
19%
27%
54%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
DER
1 - 1
CAO
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 2
DER
36%
29%
36%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |