Longford Town vs Cork City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
59.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
10º
9º
74
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
LON
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
BRW
36%
25%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
3 - 0
LON
14%
21%
66%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | -3 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
COB
1 - 1
LON
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
UCD
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
CAO
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
CAO
3 - 0
COB
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 1
CAO
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
ATH
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAO
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |