Premier League Promotion Playoffs Final
Global 4-5
Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
BRW
2 - 2
LON
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
LON
3 - 2
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
LON
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ATH
1 - 2
LON
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LON
2 - 1
WEX
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
BRW
2 - 2
LON
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
BRW
0 - 2
DUN
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
BOH
0 - 1
BRW
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BRW
1 - 0
LIM
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SHR
3 - 0
BRW
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |