Long Melford vs Downham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Long Melford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
LON
0 - 0
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HFC
0 - 0
LON
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
SOH
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WOO
1 - 2
LON
52%
23%
26%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
DER
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Downham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
DTF
1 - 2
WOO
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DTF
1 - 2
HTF
41%
22%
37%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 0
DTF
60%
20%
21%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
DTF
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 2
DTF
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |