Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 0-2
Londrina vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
68.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
PRU
0 - 0
LON
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
LON
76%
17%
7%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LON
2 - 0
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 0
LON
36%
25%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 4
SAN
12%
21%
67%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
PAL
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 3
SAN
16%
23%
61%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 2
LIN
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
SAN
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |