Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 6-0
Londrina vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LON
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
LON
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LON
3 - 2
PEL
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
LON
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LON
1 - 1
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LON
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PRI
2 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATL
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |