Londrina vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
LON
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LON
3 - 2
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LON
2 - 2
CRZ
25%
27%
48%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
FLU
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 0
LON
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
GOI
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 0
SAN
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRB
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRI
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |