Paranaense 1 Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Londrina vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
0 - 1
LON
20%
24%
55%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LON
1 - 3
JMA
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
LON
1 - 0
COT
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
JMA
0 - 0
LON
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
LON
2 - 2
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
0 - 1
LON
20%
24%
55%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOZ
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
COT
2 - 1
RIO
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
RIO
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 2
JMA
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |