Londrina vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 0
LON
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 2
LON
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
0 - 0
LON
39%
24%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
COT
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ARA
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACP
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
COT
1 - 1
RIO
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 83 | 39 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
3 - 2
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |