Londrina vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
21.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
LON
77%
15%
7%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 1
LON
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 3
LON
19%
24%
58%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
LON
2 - 1
SAN
12%
22%
66%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 2
BOA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 1
PEN
25%
27%
47%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
PEN
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
PEN
79%
16%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |