Londrina vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 1
LON
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
CAS
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
LON
69%
20%
10%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
LON
2 - 0
TCW
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LON
2 - 0
PST
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
TCW
71%
21%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
RIO
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 2
PAR
26%
25%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 1
JMA
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |