Londrina vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
LON
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
RIO
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
0 - 1
LON
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LON
0 - 1
COT
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
0 - 2
LON
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATP
30%
25%
44%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
TCW
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
ACP
72%
17%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CIA
1 - 0
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |