Londrina vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LON
3 - 0
FOZ
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LON
2 - 2
BRA
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
LON
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
ANA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 2
LON
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NPR
1 - 2
COT
8%
18%
74%
|
41 | 79 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
NPR
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
NPR
1 - 0
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NPR
1 - 2
APU
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
PST
0 - 2
NPR
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |