Londrina vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
LON
3 - 2
YPI
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
CRI
2 - 1
LON
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LON
1 - 0
VOL
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
BRU
2 - 1
LON
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 1
LON
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
ITU
2 - 0
VOL
38%
28%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TOM
0 - 0
ITU
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ITU
0 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
YPI
2 - 1
ITU
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 2
ITU
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |