Londrina vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
LON
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
LON
1 - 0
TOM
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
JUV
47%
28%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
LON
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LON
2 - 1
POR
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAX
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 3
POR
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
35%
29%
36%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |