Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-3
Londrina vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 1
LON
34%
23%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 1
LON
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
LON
2 - 2
GRE
57%
22%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
LON
4 - 1
ATP
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 1
LON
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RBB
2 - 1
GRÊ
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 0
GOI
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
GRÊ
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 0
GRÊ
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |