Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-2
Londrina vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 2
LON
36%
26%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
PAR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CIA
2 - 2
LON
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MET
0 - 4
CRI
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 0
JEC
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 0
CRI
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CRI
3 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |