Londrina vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
66.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 1
LON
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LON
1 - 3
ARA
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JMA
1 - 0
LON
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LON
4 - 0
ACP
51%
23%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ATP
2 - 0
LON
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
ARA
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
COT
11%
20%
68%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COT
5 - 1
IRA
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
COT
2 - 0
JMA
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |