Paranaense 1 Final
Global 2-2
Londrina vs Cascavel FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LON
3 - 1
SAM
33%
29%
39%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
LON
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
VIT
36%
29%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LON
0 - 2
CSA
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cascavel FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
CIA
55%
27%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CIA
0 - 0
CAS
24%
27%
48%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATP
15%
24%
61%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JEC
3 - 1
CAS
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 1
CAS
78%
15%
6%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |