Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Londrina vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
LON
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
ANA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 2
LON
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LON
5 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LON
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
LON
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 0
OPE
53%
27%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OPE
0 - 0
BRA
38%
28%
33%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |