Londrina vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
LAJ
2 - 1
LON
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
LON
40%
26%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
LAJ
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
LON
1 - 0
MET
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
JMA
1 - 2
LON
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
JMA
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
LON
40%
26%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
JMA
1 - 1
BOT
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
LAJ
2 - 0
BOT
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -3 |