Paranaense 1 Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Londrina vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 1
LON
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
JMA
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
CRI
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JMA
1 - 2
LON
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LON
2 - 0
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 1
LON
75%
17%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 3
VEL
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 2
ATP
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
ATP
3 - 0
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATP
1 - 2
PAR
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |