Londrina vs Athletic Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
8º
8º
4
3º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 11 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
2º
|
5 | 9 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
4 | 8 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 8 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 8 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 7 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 5 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LON
3 - 2
NAU
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
REM
3 - 0
LON
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FFL
0 - 0
LON
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LON
0 - 0
FLO
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
LON
34%
30%
36%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 1
YPI
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
ATH
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
ATH
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 0
CON
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 1
ATH
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |