Londrina vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
LON
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LON
4 - 0
NPR
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 6
LON
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LON
4 - 2
TCW
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
LON
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
ACP
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
JMA
2 - 1
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
OPE
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 1
ARA
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |