Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Londrina vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 2
LON
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LON
5 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LON
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
LON
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LON
3 - 2
PEL
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 2
LON
28%
26%
47%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
ANA
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 1
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ANA
3 - 0
ITA
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 2
ANA
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |