Hamilton City vs Toronto Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
5º
5º
25
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 35 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 34 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 13 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
7 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LON
0 - 3
SCA
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LON
1 - 3
UFC
94%
4%
2%
|
46 | 8 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SFS
4 - 4
LON
4%
8%
88%
|
46 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
LON
0 - 4
SER
31%
22%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
7 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
UFC
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
SCA
30%
25%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
SFS
1 - 5
TOR
13%
20%
67%
|
55 | 5 | 50 | 0 |