Hamilton City vs Toronto Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
5º
5º
22
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 25 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 2 |
7º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DTO
1 - 2
LON
6%
11%
83%
|
48 | 13 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WEU
2 - 5
LON
2%
6%
92%
|
48 | 6 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LON
4 - 2
OBP
97%
3%
1%
|
48 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SER
4 - 2
LON
56%
22%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SCA
5 - 0
LON
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WEU
0 - 2
TOR
9%
17%
74%
|
53 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
8 - 0
OBP
86%
11%
4%
|
53 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
SCA
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 1
SER
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DTO
3 - 2
TOR
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |