Hamilton City vs St. Catharine Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hamilton City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
LON
0 - 5
WIN
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
TCR
8 - 0
LON
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TRA
6 - 0
LON
79%
14%
6%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
SHO
8 - 1
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
SCW
4 - 0
LON
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
St. Catharine Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
WIN
0 - 1
SCW
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
SCW
4 - 0
LON
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
WIN
0 - 2
SCW
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
SCW
2 - 1
SCT
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
SCW
3 - 0
LON
69%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |