KFC Lommel vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KFC Lommel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
LOM
5 - 1
DES
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
LOM
1 - 1
SDL
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
CHA
1 - 3
LOM
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
LOM
2 - 2
37%
25%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
LOM
2 - 4
GEN
38%
25%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
KVC
1 - 2
EXC
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 0
KSK
84%
12%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
RAA
2 - 0
EXC
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
STR
2 - 2
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
FAB
0 - 1
EXC
4%
12%
83%
|
79 | 9 | 70 | -1 |