Locomotive Tbilisi vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
4º
9º
5º
51
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 2
GAR
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 1
LOK
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 1
LOK
21%
23%
55%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 0
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
SPA
12%
20%
67%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 2
SPA
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 3
TEL
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
SFC
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |