Locomotive Tbilisi vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
10º
8º
66
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MER
2 - 2
LOK
22%
21%
57%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 1
DIN
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 1
LOK
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 3
GAR
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 2
LOK
17%
19%
64%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 0
SPA
18%
23%
58%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
7 - 3
MER
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 3
SPA
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 2
SPA
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |