Locomotive Tbilisi vs SFC Shturmi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
9º
6º
26
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
39.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
LOK
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
WIT
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 5
LOK
54%
23%
22%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 0
LOK
65%
19%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
ADU
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
KOL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
SFC
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
SIO
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 1
SFC
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
DIN
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |