Locomotive Tbilisi vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
LOK
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 1
SHU
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 2
WIT
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 3
TSK
34%
28%
37%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 5
LOK
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SHU
5 - 0
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
TSK
2 - 0
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
SHU
2 - 0
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MER
5 - 0
ACH
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
MER
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |