Locomotive Tbilisi vs Mertskhali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
5 - 0
LOK
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 1
GOR
25%
26%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
SKU
1 - 0
LOK
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
LOK
0 - 1
CHI
28%
28%
44%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
LOK
47%
25%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mertskhali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
SAM
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
STU
2 - 2
MER
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
DBA
3 - 0
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
CHK
1 - 1
MER
54%
22%
23%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
GOR
21%
24%
54%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |