Locomotive Tbilisi vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
9º
7º
42
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
42 | 66 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 62 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
44 | 62 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 47 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 39 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 26 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 54% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 36% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 10% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
48% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
MET
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 0
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 2
SFC
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
LOK
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
WIT
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
GAR
1 - 2
KOL
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 0
SIO
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
GAR
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
GAR
3 - 0
DIN
56%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 2
GAR
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |