Locomotive Tbilisi vs WIT Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
9º
7º
34
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 61 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 59 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 57 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 56 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 50 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 47 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 43 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 12% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
61% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOK
59%
20%
21%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 3
SAM
19%
20%
60%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
SIO
38%
23%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LOK
7 - 2
GAG
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
WIT
3 - 1
KOL
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAB
5 - 0
WIT
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KOL
1 - 1
WIT
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
WIT
2 - 0
GAR
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 1
WIT
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |