Locomotive Tbilisi vs FC Rustavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
9º
7º
47
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
45 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 50 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 42% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 0
LOK
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
SFC
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 1
LOK
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 1
WIT
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
LOK
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 0
MET
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
SFC
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
MET
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |