UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Etzella Ettelbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ETZ
0 - 0
LOK
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2008 |
LOK
4 - 1
DBA
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
DTB
6 - 5
LOK
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
LOK
2 - 2
TSK
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOK
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Etzella Ettelbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ETZ
0 - 0
LOK
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ETZ
3 - 0
LXC
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 2
ETZ
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ETZ
2 - 1
SWI
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
F91
7 - 1
ETZ
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |