Locomotive Tbilisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
9º
7º
39
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
45 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 57 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 50 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 39 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
49.5% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
WIT
3 - 0
LOK
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
SPA
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
GAR
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 1
LOK
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
LOK
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
DIN
4 - 1
KOL
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MET
4 - 1
DIN
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 1
DIN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
SFC
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
3 - 1
ADU
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |