Locomotive Tbilisi vs Chkherimela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
KOL
1 - 0
LOK
49%
27%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LOK
0 - 0
MER
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
LOK
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 1
SHU
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 2
WIT
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Chkherimela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CHK
0 - 1
SHU
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TSK
4 - 0
CHK
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CHK
4 - 0
ACH
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
4 - 1
CHK
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
DBA
3 - 0
CHK
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -2 |