Locomotive Tbilisi vs Chiatura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
KOL
2 - 0
LOK
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
LOK
4 - 0
SAM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
DBA
2 - 1
LOK
74%
19%
8%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
LOK
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
STU
4 - 3
LOK
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chiatura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
SAM
57%
21%
22%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 2
CHK
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
STU
1 - 3
CHI
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
MEA
50%
26%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |