Locomotive Tbilisi vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
9º
6º
32
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 63 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 60 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 37 |
9º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 25 |
10º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
39.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 0
TEL
32%
24%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 6
LOK
15%
18%
67%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 5
GAG
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 3
KOL
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
LOK
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ADU
0 - 2
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ADU
3 - 2
DIN
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
ADU
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ADU
6 - 2
WIT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
ADU
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |