Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
ERF
4 - 3
LOK
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 1
FVF
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
0 - 1
LOK
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
ROS
0 - 1
LOK
30%
26%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 0
CHE
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
2 - 0
SUN
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
2 - 1
TOT
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
MUD
1 - 0
SWA
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
0 - 1
LOK
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
3 - 2
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |