Lokomotive Leipzig vs SV 1899 Merseburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 1
SWA
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
ERF
4 - 3
LOK
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 1
FVF
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
0 - 1
LOK
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
ROS
0 - 1
LOK
30%
26%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
SVM
0 - 3
HAL
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
BFC
7 - 0
SVM
91%
6%
3%
|
62 | 91 | 29 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
SVM
0 - 3
MAG
15%
19%
66%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
SGD
10 - 1
SVM
88%
8%
4%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
SVM
3 - 1
COT
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |